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	<title type="text">Brainstorm Tech: Technology blogs, news and analysis from Fortune Magazine</title>
	<subtitle type="text">Fortune's tech team offers analysis and perspective on the world’s most important developments.</subtitle>

	<updated>2009-11-22T21:18:44Z</updated>
	<generator uri="http://wordpress.com/">WordPress.com</generator>

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		<author>
			<name>Philip Elmer-DeWitt</name>
						<uri>http://fortuneapple20.wordpress.com</uri>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[iPhone hardball and soft sell in China]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/22/iphone-hardball-and-soft-sell-in-china/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15589</id>
		<updated>2009-11-22T21:18:44Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-22T20:18:21Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple 2.0" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="China" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="China Mobile" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="China Unicom" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Dan Butterfield" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="iPhonAsia" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Apple airs its first Chinese-language ads as reports of retailer intimidation emerge
Supplementing print advertisements like one at right, the first Apple-produced iPhone ads appeared on Chinese TV over the weekend.
They come on the heels of the device&#039;s somewhat sluggish start last month in the world&#039;s largest mobile phone market (more than 720 million subscribers).
Apple&#039;s (AAPL) [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15589&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/22/iphone-hardball-and-soft-sell-in-china/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><strong>Apple airs its first Chinese-language ads as reports of retailer intimidation emerge</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/txt-200911910479884-1.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-15591" style="margin:5px 15px;" title="Chinese iPhone ad" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/txt-200911910479884-1.jpg?w=245&#038;h=163" alt="" width="245" height="163" /></a>Supplementing print advertisements like one at right, the first Apple-produced iPhone ads appeared on Chinese TV over the weekend.</p>
<p>They come on the heels of the device&#039;s somewhat sluggish start last month in the world&#039;s largest mobile phone market (more than 720 million subscribers).</p>
<p>Apple&#039;s (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=AAPL">AAPL</a>) local carrier, China Unicom (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=CHU">CHU</a>), reported signing up only 5,000 new subscribers in the iPhone&#039;s first four days of sale, a result Western analysts viewed as <a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/03/china-iphone-launch-a-disappointment/">disappointing</a>.</p>
<p>In addition to the several reasons put forward &#8212; e.g., high prices, lack of Wi-Fi, a market saturated with knock-off and black-market phones &#8212; <a href="http://iphonasia.com/?p=8073">iPhonAsia</a>&#039;s Dan Butterfield has added another: strong-arm tactics on the part of China Unicom&#039;s chief rival, China Mobile (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=CHL">CHL</a>).</p>
<p>According to Butterfield, some of the country&#039;s most important mobile phone distributors are not yet selling the iPhone despite signed agreements with China Unicom. Reason: threatening letters from China Mobile warning them not to.</p>
<p>&#034;The precise wording of these letters is unknown,&#034; writes Butterfield, &#034;but this is more than just a suggestion.&#034; He then quotes &#8212; in translation &#8212; an article in <a href="http://tech.sina.com.cn/t/2009-11-21/10013612802.shtml">sina.com</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#034;Many cell phone distributors received formal notification that &#039;Selling iPhones is not recommended,&#039; or &#039;Selling iPhones is not allowed or China Mobile will fine you or stop cooperation with you.&#039; &#034;</p></blockquote>
<p>Tactics like this, as <a href="http://www.9to5mac.com/Chian-mobile-China-unicom-4528586">9to5Mac</a>&#039;s Seth Weintraub puts it, &#034;make Verizon and AT&amp;T&#039;s little sissy war seem silly.&#034;</p>
<p>Below the fold: An iPhone ad with a Chinese accent and Chinese apps.</p>
<p><span id="more-15589"></span></p>
<p><embed src='http://widgets.vodpod.com/w/video_embed/Groupvideo.3985788' type='application/x-shockwave-flash' AllowScriptAccess='always' pluginspage='http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer' wmode='transparent' flashvars='' width='425' height='350' /></p>
<p>See also:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/03/china-iphone-launch-a-disappointment/">China iPhone launch a &#039;disappointment&#039;</a></li>
<li><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/17/inside-beijings-iphone-black-market/">Inside Beijing&#039;s iPhone black market</a></li>
<li><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/10/30/photo-chinese-queue-up-for-iphone/">Photo: Chinese queue up for iPhones</a></li>
</ul>
<p>[Follow Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Twitter @<a rel="external nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/philiped" target="new">philiped</a>]</p>
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	<category term="CHU" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /><category term="CHL" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /><category term="AAPL" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Philip Elmer-DeWitt</name>
						<uri>http://fortuneapple20.wordpress.com</uri>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Does AT&amp;T turn into a pumpkin in June?]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/22/does-att-turn-into-a-pumpkin-in-june/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15567</id>
		<updated>2009-11-22T17:46:35Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-22T15:35:06Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple 2.0" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="AT&amp;T" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Brian Marshall" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="China" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="iPhone" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Mac" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Verizon" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Its Cinderella contract with Apple for the iPhone runs out in seven months, says one analyst

Broadpoint AmTech&#039;s Brian Marshall, who has replaced Piper Jaffray&#039;s Gene Munster as the most bullish of the mainstream Apple analysts, made several assertions of fact in an Bloomberg TV interview Friday that &#8212; if true &#8212; struck me as newsworthy. [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15567&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/22/does-att-turn-into-a-pumpkin-in-june/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><strong>Its Cinderella contract with Apple for the iPhone runs out in seven months, says one analyst<br />
</strong></p>
<div id="attachment_15570" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 252px"><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/screen-shot-2009-11-22-at-9-55-56-am.png"><img class="size-full wp-image-15570 " title="Brian Marshall" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/screen-shot-2009-11-22-at-9-55-56-am.png?w=242&#038;h=224" alt="" width="242" height="224" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Brian Marshall. Image: Bloomberg</p></div>
<p>Broadpoint AmTech&#039;s Brian Marshall, who has replaced Piper Jaffray&#039;s Gene Munster as the <a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/10/20/apple-earnings-how-the-analysts-got-it-so-wrong/">most bullish</a> of the mainstream Apple analysts, made several assertions of fact in an Bloomberg TV <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.htm?N=adviser&amp;T=Marshall Recommends Apple Use Verizon as IPhone Carrier&amp;clipSRC=mms://media2.bloomberg.com/cache/vfk7eC6N2jGE.asf">interview</a> Friday that &#8212; if true &#8212; struck me as newsworthy. Chief among them:</p>
<ul>
<li>The contract that gives AT&amp;T (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=T">T</a>) exclusive access in the U.S. to Apple&#039;s (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=AAPL">AAPL</a>) iPhone expires in June 2010.</li>
<li>Apple is now getting a $450 subsidy from AT&amp;T for each iPhone it sells; after June, that subsidy will be reduced to $300 for all carriers, domestic and international.</li>
<li>The 4% of AT&amp;T subscribers who use the iPhone consume roughly 40% of the network&#039;s bandwidth.</li>
</ul>
<p>Here and in a research note issued last late month, Marshall has been lobbying heavily for Apple to start selling the iPhone through Verizon (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=VZ">VZ</a>). It turns out he may have personal reasons for doing so. He told Bloomberg&#039;s Pimm Fox that whenever he travels to New York or San Francisco with his iPhone he gets dropped calls &#034;all the time.&#034;</p>
<blockquote><p>&#034;A very frustrating experience,&#034; he said, &#034;but I&#039;m not going to move away because Apple has their hooks into me&#034;</p></blockquote>
<p>You can hear all this, plus what Marshall has to say about the Chinese iPhone market, Windows 7&#039;s effect on Mac sales and Apple&#039;s 2010 earnings, in the interview posted below the fold.</p>
<p>[Follow Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Twitter @<a rel="external nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/philiped" target="new">philiped</a>]</p>
<p><span id="more-15567"></span></p>
<p><span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/22/does-att-turn-into-a-pumpkin-in-june/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/imFfITYWiOE/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span></p>
<p>See also:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/12/rumors-a-verizon-iphone-in-2010/">Rumors: A Verizon iPhone in 2010</a></li>
<li><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/10/20/apple-earnings-how-the-analysts-got-it-so-wrong/">Apple earnings: How the analysts got it so wrong</a></li>
</ul>
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		<thr:total>5</thr:total>
	<category term="T" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /><category term="VZ" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /><category term="AAPL" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Philip Elmer-DeWitt</name>
						<uri>http://fortuneapple20.wordpress.com</uri>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[What wowed the crowd at Web 2.0 Expo]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/21/what-wowed-the-crowd-at-web-2-0-expo/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15545</id>
		<updated>2009-11-21T17:12:37Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-21T16:40:18Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple 2.0" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Daily Brainstorm" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Baratunde Thurston" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Beth Noveck" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Caterina Fake" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Digg" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Douglas Rushkoff" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Jay Adelson" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Kevin Rose" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="The Onion" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Tim O'Reilly" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Twitter" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Web 2.0 Expo" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[The man behind #swineflu and #HowBlackAreYou was the hit at this year&#039;s NYC webfest
This has nothing in particular to do with Apple (AAPL), but it&#039;s very 2.0.
We spent much of last week at a conference in New York City called Web 2.0 Expo &#8212; a celebration of the &#034;next generation Web&#034; where one of the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15545&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/21/what-wowed-the-crowd-at-web-2-0-expo/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><strong>The man behind #swineflu and #HowBlackAreYou was the hit at this year&#039;s NYC webfest</strong></p>
<div id="attachment_15550" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 275px"><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/screen-shot-2009-11-21-at-11-02-36-am.png"><img class="size-full wp-image-15550" title="Baratunde Thurston. Image: O'Reilly Media" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/screen-shot-2009-11-21-at-11-02-36-am.png?w=265&#038;h=285" alt="" width="265" height="285" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Baratunde Thurston. Image: O&#39;Reilly Media</p></div>
<p>This has nothing in particular to do with Apple (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=AAPL">AAPL</a>), but it&#039;s very 2.0.</p>
<p>We spent much of last week at a conference in New York City called <a href="http://www.web2expo.com/webexny2009">Web 2.0 Expo</a> &#8212; a celebration of the &#034;next generation Web&#034; where one of the centers of attention was the giant Twitter screen set directly behind the keynote speakers that showed what the audience was tweeting about whomever was onstage.</p>
<p>The speakers included a typical mix of Web celebrities, including O&#039;Reilly Media&#039;s Tim O&#039;Reilly, Digg&#039;s Kevin Rose and Jay Adelson, author Douglas Rushkoff, Flikr co-founder Caterina Fake and White House chief technology officer Beth Noveck.</p>
<p>But the hit of the conference &#8212; judging from the laughter, the applause and the tweets &#8212; was Baratunde Thurston, Web &amp; Politics editor at <a href="http://theonion.com/">The Onion</a>.</p>
<p>His talk was entitled &#034;There&#039;s a #Hashtag for That&#034; and I&#039;ve discovered that it&#039;s a kind of Twitter touchstone. The audience at the Javits Center thought it was knee-slapping hilarious. People who don&#039;t quite get what Twitter is for &#8212; like my wife &#8212; are even more mystified than they were before they watched it.</p>
<p>The video is posted below the fold. We&#039;d love to hear what you think.</p>
<p>[Follow Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Twitter @<a rel="external nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/philiped" target="new">philiped</a>]</p>
<p><span id="more-15545"></span><span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/21/what-wowed-the-crowd-at-web-2-0-expo/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/xkyqKPcfx64/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span></p>
<p>Thurston tweets as @<a href="http://twitter.com/baratunde">baratunde</a>. The hashtag for Web 2.0 Expo is <strong><a title="#w2e" href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23w2e"><strong>#w2e</strong></a>.</strong></p>
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		<thr:total>4</thr:total>
	<category term="AAPL" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mason Cohn, Producer</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Beyond the netbook]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/20/beyond-the-netbook/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15531</id>
		<updated>2009-11-20T18:20:14Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-20T18:20:14Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Uncategorized" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Video" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Acer" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Asus" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Dell" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="HP" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="laptops" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Netbook" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="netbooks" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[       <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15531&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/20/beyond-the-netbook/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><script src="http://i.cdn.turner.com/money/.element/script/3.0/video/evp/module.js?loc=dom&vid=/video/technology/2009/11/20/tt_asus_netbook_laptops.fortune" type="text/javascript"></script><noscript>Embedded video from <a href="http://money.cnn.com/video">CNNMoney.com Video</a></noscript>
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	</entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Philip Elmer-DeWitt</name>
						<uri>http://fortuneapple20.wordpress.com</uri>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Mac ads haunt Steve Ballmer]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/20/mac-ads-haunt-steve-ballmer/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15515</id>
		<updated>2009-11-20T20:09:41Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-20T15:05:32Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple 2.0" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Get a Mac" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="IDC" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Mac" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Microsoft" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Steve Ballmer" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Windows 7" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Shareholders press Microsoft&#039;s CEO about Apple&#039;s marketing campaign
Those Get-a-Mac ads make &#034;you all look like a buffoon,&#034; one long-time shareholder (and father of four Mac-using children) told Microsoft (MSFT) CEO Steve Ballmer at the company&#039;s annual meeting Thursday. &#034;I&#039;m just wondering why your marketing group can&#039;t do something to try to rein in this next [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15515&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/20/mac-ads-haunt-steve-ballmer/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><strong>Shareholders press Microsoft&#039;s CEO about Apple&#039;s marketing campaign</strong></p>
<div id="attachment_15518" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 253px"><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/screen-shot-2009-11-20-at-9-30-04-am.png"><img class="size-full wp-image-15518" title="Get a Mac" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/screen-shot-2009-11-20-at-9-30-04-am.png?w=243&#038;h=269" alt="" width="243" height="269" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Image: Apple Inc. </p></div>
<p>Those Get-a-Mac ads make &#034;you all look like a buffoon,&#034; one long-time shareholder (and father of four <a href="http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/microsoft/2010312810_microsoft20.html?syndication=rss">Mac-using</a> children) told Microsoft (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=MSFT">MSFT</a>) CEO Steve Ballmer at the company&#039;s annual meeting Thursday. &#034;I&#039;m just wondering why your marketing group can&#039;t do something to try to rein in this next generation, because you&#039;ve got a real bad image out there.&#034;</p>
<p>&#034;We all watch television,&#034; Ballmer responded, before quickly changing the subject to Microsoft&#039;s market share.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#034;The truth of the matter is, we do quite well,&#034; he said, according to <a href="http://www.techflash.com/seattle/2009/11/shareholders_quiz_ballmer_about_macs_windows_mobile_phones.html">TechFlash</a>&#039;s Todd Bishop, who seems to have taken the best notes. &#034;Even among college students, we do quite well. Do we have an opportunity for improvement? We do. Some of that is marketing, some of that is phase of life. It is important to remember that 96 times out of 100 worldwide, people choose a PC with Windows; that&#039;s a good thing. Even in the toughest market, which would be the high end of the consumer market here in the U.S., 83 times out of 100 people choose a Windows PC over a Mac.&#034;</p></blockquote>
<p>Ballmer acknowledged that Apple (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=AAPL">AAPL</a>) had &#034;picked up a couple of tenths of a percent of market share,&#034; an achievement some in the audience seemed to find laughable.</p>
<p>But as the <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704204304574545754132474232.html?ru=yahoo&amp;mod=yahoo_hs">Wall Street Journal</a>&#039;s Nick Wingfield points out, citing IDC numbers, Apple&#039;s share of new PC shipments in the U.S. was 9.2% in the third quarter, up from 4.8% in the same period four years ago. (Worldwide share: 3.9% compared with 2.4% four years ago.)</p>
<p>Wingfield also took a crack at estimating how many copies of Window 7 Microsoft has sold, a number the company has not provided.</p>
<p><span id="more-15515"></span></p>
<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 212px"><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/screen-shot-2009-11-03-at-5-40-35-am.png"><img class="  " style="border:1px solid black;" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/screen-shot-2009-11-03-at-5-40-35-am.png?w=202&#038;h=165" alt="" width="202" height="165" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Source: Morgan Stanley. Click to enlarge.</p></div>
<p>According to Ballmer, Microsoft sold twice as many copies of Windows 7 in its first few weeks than any previous version of the operating system. Since Vista sold 20 million copies in its first month on the market, that would put Windows 7 unit sales to date at roughly 40 million.</p>
<p>That number includes both boxed copies and copies sold to PC makers for pre-installation on their machines, according to a Microsoft spokesperson. Sales of PC hardware spiked sharply immediately after the Oct. 22 launch (see chart at right).</p>
<p>See also:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/03/pc-sales-spike-with-windows-7-debut/">PC sales spike with Windows 7 debut</a></li>
<li><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/10/25/how-apple-is-gaining-on-microsoft/">How Apple is gaining on Microsoft</a></li>
<li><a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/10/16/windows-7-like-it-or-not/">Windows 7, like it or not</a></li>
</ul>
<p>[Follow Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Twitter @<a rel="external nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/philiped" target="new">philiped</a>]</p>
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		<thr:total>18</thr:total>
	<category term="MSFT" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /><category term="AAPL" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Stephanie N. Mehta, Assistant managing editor</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Calculated innovation: Is there a post-recession payoff?]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/20/calculated-innovation-is-there-a-post-recession-payoff/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15504</id>
		<updated>2009-11-19T21:49:21Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-20T14:00:51Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Cool Companies" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Guest Brainstorms" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Adobe" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Create with Context" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="iPhone" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Mariah Power" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Third Party Apps" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[ Yes, you can create new products and services without betting the farm
By Ilana Westerman, CEO, Create with Context
Many companies remain shell-shocked from the past 18 months of economic disaster.  As such, innovation &#8211; despite its potential rewards &#8211; is not exactly in fashion right now.
Though gurus like Jim Collins and others extol the virtues [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15504&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/20/calculated-innovation-is-there-a-post-recession-payoff/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><strong> Yes, you can create new products and services without betting the farm</strong></p>
<p><em>By Ilana Westerman, CEO, Create with Context</em></p>
<div id="attachment_15505" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 110px"><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/aaimg_1631.jpg"><img class="size-thumbnail wp-image-15505" title="aaIMG_1631" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/aaimg_1631.jpg?w=100&#038;h=150" alt="" width="100" height="150" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Westerman: Innovation doesn&#39;t have to be risky. Photo: Create with Context</p></div>
<p>Many companies remain shell-shocked from the past 18 months of economic disaster.  As such, innovation &#8211; despite its potential rewards &#8211; is not exactly in fashion right now.</p>
<p>Though gurus like Jim Collins and others extol the virtues of using the downturn to capitalize on market opportunities or a competitor’s weakness, companies today are more likely to take a wait-and-see approach to innovation:  “Look for the quick bucks and the low-hanging fruit,” you might say to your management team.</p>
<p>But wait a minute: why not invest in innovation? And I&#039;m not talking about focus groups and customer feedback surveys and Friday afternoon brainstorming sessions.</p>
<p>Economic indicators suggest that we are slowly pulling out of this global economic downturn. Despite the uncertainties ahead, this is the optimal time to think about innovation in a different light: what new groundbreaking product or service would truly resonate with your customers? It&#039;s probably something they can&#039;t articulate themselves. But it&#039;s worthwhile to take the time to discern what motivates your customers and how you could meet a need they don&#039;t even realize they have. In our work with clients, we call this calculated innovation.</p>
<p>When executives think about innovation, what often comes to mind is not far from the truth: engineers and marketing chiefs sit around a table and pontificate on the next big idea. This is fuzzy and abstract, and often not grounded in reality. Where do these ideas come from and how can you measure your risk?</p>
<p>No wonder innovation is scary for many companies. <span id="more-15504"></span>It could be a huge waste of money and time. Calculated innovation, on the other hand, is a process founded upon research to determine customers’ beliefs, motivations, and needs. That customer view is then mapped against the world in which your customers live: the cultural context and larger societal trends.</p>
<p>We have an alternative energy client, <a href="http://www.mariahpower.com/">Mariah Power</a>, a young company that manufactures wind turbines for businesses and residential use. The company came to us because they wanted to develop better awareness about the power of wind, which to many people is pretty abstract. While a potential customer could go to the company&#039;s website to learn all about the <a href="http://www.mariahpower.com/windspire-overview.aspx">Windspire</a> turbines and how much wind was required to run one, the context was missing. What&#039;s wind power going to do for me?</p>
<p><strong>Research first, innovate later</strong></p>
<p>To help find a solution to the problem, we started with in-depth ethnographic research. This involved in-home observation of consumers in three different states related to &#034;green&#034; behaviors such as recycling and environmentally-friendly products. The resulting research helped us define two different customer groups: one that goes the extra mile to be green, and another that needs an easy way to go green.</p>
<p>Using that research, we came up with a design for an application for Apple’s (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=aapl">AAPL</a>) iPhone  called Windspire Me, that allows a user to simply hold the phone&#039;s microphone up in the air to gain a reasonably accurate measure of the wind speed in their location.</p>
<p>The app gives the user a sample wind speed, with contextual information: this will power your microwave and toaster for a year, for example. For green enthusiasts, we included a button on the app that allows them to share their readings with friends. As more readings are shared, users can then see maps of wind speeds across their community to inspire grass roots lobbying for local green power. The app has just been submitted to the App Store, yet Mariah Power is already seeing some benefits.</p>
<p>“All we can say now is that interest has been really high,” the company’s spokesperson Amy Berry told me. “And for us, awareness is a big objective.”</p>
<p><strong>Innovation is in the details</strong></p>
<p>What we&#039;ve also uncovered over the years is that calculated innovation is not just about the big picture but also the fine details. Execution is everything. During user testing for the Windspire Me app, we noticed that people were obstructing the microphone with their fingers when trying to measure the wind speed. As a result, we included a design change to show a visual in the app instructing people how to use it correctly. This iterative process of design is what makes a product in the end successful and valuable for users.</p>
<p>The point here is that innovation takes a thoughtful process. It takes macro-thinking and micro details. Most of all, it requires a deep, contextually-rooted understanding of your target customer groups.</p>
<p>We worked with Adobe (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=ADBE">ADBE</a>) Software on a several-month research project to determine how young people below the age of 18 use technology. The research uncovered many factors that defy conventional wisdom about software: the emerging generation could care less about a product with 20 new features but what they absolutely need is collaboration.</p>
<p>The next generation also sometimes wants to buy a piece of a product based on a specific need, versus the whole package. Adobe didn&#039;t request the research to merely influence its next software versions&#8211; but to help shape the course of products over the next 10 years.</p>
<p>Surely, the company’s design strategy will change repeatedly in the next decade, but this long view of innovation is what will set companies apart from their competitors.</p>
<p>If you spend more time thinking about the future and researching what your customers will be doing and needing, you&#039;ll have the proof to back up your plans for innovation, and that mitigates both the fear and the risk. This is the power of calculated innovation. What are your thoughts?</p>
<p><strong></strong><em>Westerman is co-founder and CEO at digital products consulting firm <a href="http://www.createwithcontext.com">Create with Context</a>, based in Santa Clara, CA.  The company helps clients develop and design products based on customer behavior, context, and technology.</em></p>
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	<category term="AAPL" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /><category term="ADBE" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Michael V. Copeland, Senior Writer</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[The man behind the netbook craze]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/20/the-man-behind-the-netbook-craze/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15479</id>
		<updated>2009-11-20T19:35:54Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-20T11:00:45Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Cool Companies" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Daily Brainstorm" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Acer" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Asus" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Dell" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Hewlett-Packard" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Intel" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Jonney Shih" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="netbooks" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[A few years ago rivals mocked Jonney Shih, chairman of Asustek, and his purse-size laptop computers. Millions of netbooks later, Shih is having the last laugh.

On a hillside above the Hsing Tian Kong temple in the northern reaches of Taipei, Jonney Shih sits on a wobbly stool next to an ornate low wooden table. Dressed [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15479&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/20/the-man-behind-the-netbook-craze/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><strong>A few years ago rivals mocked Jonney Shih, chairman of Asustek, and his purse-size laptop computers. Millions of netbooks later, Shih is having the last laugh.<br />
</strong></p>
<div id="attachment_15490" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 217px"><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/jonney_shih-03.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-15490" title="jonney_shih.03" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/jonney_shih-03.jpg?w=207&#038;h=300" alt="" width="207" height="300" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Jonney Shih, CEO of Asus, in Taipei.</p></div>
<p>On a hillside above the Hsing Tian Kong temple in the northern reaches of Taipei, Jonney Shih sits on a wobbly stool next to an ornate low wooden table. Dressed in a taupe suit, white shirt, and silver tie emblazoned with jaguars, Shih, 57, cheerfully waves off three umbrella-wielding employees who try in vain to shield their boss from the hot sun and a swirl of menacing bees.</p>
<p>But Shih, who is waiting to be photographed for this magazine, sits serenely, perspiration-free in the sun, intent on a game of Chinese chess. &#034;In Buddhism you learn to accept everything, to let it flow through you,&#034; Shih says. &#034;Then you can slow down and think clearly.&#034;</p>
<p>It turns out the ferociously driven Shih is a less-than-model Buddhist. (Buddhists aren&#039;t supposed to be thinking about technology while they&#039;re meditating &#8212; something Shih is known to do.) But his ambition, combined with engineering skills and spot-on business instincts, also makes him the most brilliant technology executive you&#039;ve never heard of.</p>
<p>He is the largest shareholder and chairman of Asustek (pronounced a-soos-tech), the $21-billion-a-year tech conglomerate that introduced the first netbook three years ago, ushering in a revolution in the stagnant PC industry. When it hit stores in the fall of 2007, Shih&#039;s $399 EeePC was derided by rivals as a low-power plaything. But Asustek, or Asus for short, went on to sell millions of the mini-notebooks and soon vaulted to No. 5 in worldwide PC market share.<span id="more-15479"></span></p>
<p>Today virtually every PC manufacturer on the planet, including Dell (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=DELL">DELL</a>), Hewlett- Packard (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=HPQ">HPQ</a>), and Toshiba, offers its own version of netbook. (The exception is Apple (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=AAPL">AAPL</a>).) But the biggest netbook maker, with 38% of the market, is another Taiwanese tech company, Acer, which also happens to be Shih&#039;s former employer. Asus, which had the market all to itself for about eight months, is now in second place, with a 30% share.</p>
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<p>So Shih, after creating what has grown into a $10 billion category in two years, needs to come up with another breakthrough, and he&#039;ll apply his own flavor of Buddhism to the challenge. &#034;Most people think Buddhism is passive or about escape,&#034; he says. &#034;It&#039;s not. It&#039;s about confronting what&#039;s in front of you with a clear and flexible mind. That might be a hot day or your competition, but you accept it and do everything the best at that moment.&#034;</p>
<p>That sounds fairly magnanimous, but whether it&#039;s in Chinese chess or the PC world, Shih&#039;s best effort has a way of crushing the life out of whoever gets in the way. Shih&#039;s &#034;not that well known in the West because he doesn&#039;t put himself first,&#034; says Jen-Hsun Huang, CEO of chipmaker Nvidia. &#034;He&#039;s humble, but he always has a mental model for exactly what he wants his company to do.&#034;</p>
<p><strong>The Giant Lion</strong><br />
<a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/chart_netbook2.gif"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-15498" title="chart_netbook" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/chart_netbook2.gif?w=220&#038;h=884" alt="" width="220" height="884" /></a>Asus was started in 1989 by four former Acer engineers. (The name &#034;Asus&#034; comes from the mythical Greek horse, Pegasus.) At the time Acer, one of the original companies to transform the island of Taiwan into the center of computer manufacturing in the world, had already gone public on the Taipei exchange.</p>
<p>Many Acer employees took their stock gains and launched their own businesses. At a café in Taipei, four subordinates tried to persuade Shih, who was running R&amp;D at Acer at the time, to join them in starting a company to design and manufacture motherboards &#8212; the central circuit boards in PCs that connect crucial components, including the processor and memory.</p>
<p>Shih demurred out of loyalty to his mentor Stan Shih (no relation), co-founder and chairman of Acer. But he did encourage his former reports to start Asus and took a stake in their new company. In 1994, after three years as president of Acer&#039;s business unit &#8212; selling Acer technology rather than designing it &#8212; Shih joined Asus as CEO.</p>
<p>When a chip company comes out with a new processor, it&#039;s up to the motherboard designers to integrate that chip into a standard circuit board that can run the computer. Whichever company can get its motherboard out first and squeeze the highest performance out of a chip set wins the business of the PC makers.</p>
<p>Back when Shih was at Acer, he made his reputation by building killer motherboards. When Intel (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=INTC">INTC</a>) was rolling out its 386 processor in 1985, Shih and a group of engineers showed up at the Computer Electronics Show in Las Vegas ready to do battle. &#034;We didn&#039;t sleep much that voyage,&#034; Shih recalls.</p>
<p>In the competition among motherboards, Dell&#039;s offering was the highest performing, but it wasn&#039;t a technology suitable for mass production. Shih&#039;s was, and it beat out the best from IBM (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=IBM">IBM</a>), Compaq, and everyone else. (At the time, many PC makers produced their own motherboards, which they sold to other manufacturers as well.) The orders came pouring in, and Shih&#039;s reputation around Intel and the rest of the PC industry was made.</p>
<p>After moving to Asus, Shih continued his success with Intel&#039;s 486 processor, and computer makers such as Hewlett-Packard, Sony (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=SNE">SNE</a>), and Dell found that if they used Asus motherboards, their computers performed better. By the mid-&#039;90s, Asus sold more motherboards than anyone, and its revenue and profits climbed steadily throughout the decade.</p>
<p>But in 2001 other companies, ECS and Foxconn, started undercutting Asus&#039;s prices in the motherboard business. Asus&#039;s share in unit volume fell to No. 2, and annual profit dropped dramatically to $300 million in 2002, from $500 million the prior year. In response Shih launched what he called the &#034;giant lion&#034; strategy.</p>
<p>&#034;You need to be a lion. A lion has position in the jungle,&#034; Shih says. &#034;So we kept driving the performance, quality, and innovation of our motherboards &#8212; we kept our leading position in the jungle. But I realized that at the same time you have to have big market share. You need to be a giant lion.&#034; Shih founded a subsidiary, ASRock, to compete at the low end, leveraging Asus engineering and manufacturing.</p>
<p>The giant lion mauled the competition: Within two years Asus was back as the No. 1 revenue producer in the motherboard business, and its volume exceeded the output of the second, third, and fourth companies combined.</p>
<p>Meanwhile the company started making &#034;white label&#034; consumer electronics for the likes of Dell, HP, and Sony. Named Pegatron after the first part of &#034;Pegasus&#034; (the wholly owned subsidiary was spun out in 2008), it manufactured notebooks as well as routers, MP3 players, gaming consoles, and whatever else big brands wanted made. But Shih wasn&#039;t satisfied to be a mere contract manufacturer, and in 1997, Asus started making laptop computers under its own brand.</p>
<p><strong>A computer for the masses</strong><br />
Asus is Taiwan&#039;s HP and Apple rolled into one. It is the No. 1 seller of notebooks there, but its laptops win for their performance, reliability, and style, not their discount prices. Asus has notebooks covered in leather, hand-polished steel, even bamboo.</p>
<p>But Shih&#039;s ambitions extend beyond what clearly is a maturing market. He wanted to build a machine for the next billion PC customers. His breakthrough notion was to provide a device that offered good enough performance to surf the web and do simple computing tasks in a very easy-to-use, affordable package.</p>
<p>Fortuitously, Intel at the time was working on a chip that would help Shih accomplish his goal. &#034;Behind the scenes we had been working on Atom, our low-cost, lowpower chip,&#034; says Sean Maloney, Intel&#039;s executive vice president. &#034;Jonney immediately wanted it.&#034; The question was how to package a machine around it.</p>
<p>For three months Shih and the head of Asus&#039;s motherboard business, Jerry Shen (now the Asus CEO), personally worked out the basic concepts: what features to include (Wi-Fi, a touchpad, and a solid-state drive) and what to throw out (Microsoft Windows, initially, and a full-size keyboard). Then they brought in a team of engineers to make their ideas real. At one point, as they struggled over the machine&#039;s software interface, Shen locked the team in a Taipei hot-springs hotel for two days. They finally emerged with their answers. When the first few thousand EeePC netbooks went on sale in Taiwan in October 2007, they sold out in 30 minutes.</p>
<p>Like other tech companies, Asus was hit by the global recession, and last winter it posted its first quarterly loss in the company&#039;s 20-year history. The company has cut costs through layoffs and salary cuts, and has scaled back its inventory. More recently, however, Asus has rebounded, blasting through analyst estimates for its third quarter, and its stock is trading at a 52-week high on the Taipei Exchange. (Asus has made Shih rich, but his only concession to his wealth is a chauffeur-driven Volkswagen Phaeton. &#034;It&#039;s 80% of a Bentley and half the price,&#034; he jokes.)</p>
<p>Asus, which gets 40% of revenue from Asus-branded technologies, is forecasting a 30% increase year over year in netbook and notebook sales in 2010. Of course, rival Acer also forecasts growth, and the maker of the Aspire One model isn&#039;t likely to cede its No. 1 position in netbooks anytime soon. And so Shih is spending his time meditating about Asus&#039;s next industry-changing hit.</p>
<p><strong>The next netbook</strong><br />
At Asus headquarters in a bright corner room filled with fabric swatches and beanbag chairs, the next phase of Shih&#039;s clear thinking is being prototyped. This is the company&#039;s top-secret design lab. Lying on counters are notebooks that look as if they are folded, origami-style, from sheets of aluminum. Others have keyboards that slide back and slightly up when the case is opened for a more ergonomic position. An international team of designers swap ideas on couches.</p>
<p>Shih&#039;s instinct tells him that the &#034;next netbook&#034; won&#039;t come from an engineering specification but from understanding how people use devices to communicate, get work done, and play. More than ever he is pouring company resources into design.</p>
<p>He pulls out a prototype of the forthcoming Eee Keyboard, an aluminum-clad keyboard with a touchscreen on one side. Via a wireless connection, it turns a flat-screen television into a websurfing, Facebook-friendly device. From his pocket emerges a smartphone that Asus developed with navigation company Garmin (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=GRMN">GRMN</a>).</p>
<p>The Asus-Garmin phone has been a dud, and the keyboard isn&#039;t out yet, but those items suggest that Shih is thinking about more easy-to-use, affordable products that are integrated as part of a digital lifestyle. &#034;My competitors are doing their own version of the EeePC,&#034; Shih says, &#034;but I don&#039;t know if they have the vision of how everything can work together.&#034;</p>
<p>Is Shih&#039;s insight about integrated technology the &#034;giant lion&#034; that will help Asus regain its leadership position in netbooks? It hardly sounds revolutionary, but by now rivals know better than to underestimate Shih, especially when this &#034;bad Buddhist&#034; is thinking clearly.</p>
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		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Jon Fortt, senior writer</name>
						<uri>http://fortt.com</uri>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Google Chrome OS press event, 11/19]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/19/google-chrome-os-press-event-1119/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15442</id>
		<updated>2009-11-20T21:12:12Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-19T17:59:27Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Big Tech" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Google" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Google Chrome OS" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[I&#039;m at Google (GOOG), ready for the Chrome OS press event to begin. Refresh this page for updates.
They&#039;re telling us they&#039;re getting started a little late because attendees got caught in traffic. That&#039;s nice of them, I guess.
Sundar Pichai is at the lectern. He says Google is a year away from launching Chrome OS, but [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15442&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/19/google-chrome-os-press-event-1119/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><div id="attachment_9592" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/google-chromeos1.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-15445" title="google-chromeos1" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/google-chromeos1.jpg?w=300&#038;h=213" alt="" width="300" height="213" /></a><br />
<p class="wp-caption-text">The crowd gets ready for the Chrome OS announcement. Photo: Jon Fortt.</p></div>
<p>I&#039;m at Google (GOOG), ready for the Chrome OS press event to begin. Refresh this page for updates.</p>
<p>They&#039;re telling us they&#039;re getting started a little late because attendees got caught in traffic. That&#039;s nice of them, I guess.</p>
<p>Sundar Pichai is at the lectern. He says Google is a year away from launching Chrome OS, but they want to show off what they&#039;ve done so far. (Big disappointment here; blogs had spread rumors that this was a launch.) They&#039;re open sourcing the project, and the code will be totally open.</p>
<p>He starts off talking about Chrome, the browser. He calls it the foundation of everything Google is doing with Chrome OS. One year after launch they have 40 million users. Google claims its Javascript performance is 39 times faster than Internet Explorer 8. It has had 19 stable releases or updates, and HTML5 is making the web more powerful.<span id="more-15442"></span></p>
<p>Chrome for Mac will be ready before the end of the year, he says, plus Chrome for Linux. There are also Chrome extensions coming. He claims the extensions won&#039;t slow down the browser and that Google will automatically update them.</p>
<p>Google is trying to figure out a way that web applications can take advantage of the same computing resources that mainstream client apps have. He says Google is trying to make sure web apps have access to graphics processors so 3D games can run in the browser. Google is also working on multithreading, real-time communication and a database API for local storage.</p>
<p>Now he&#039;s talking about a &#034;perfect storm&#034; of converging trends that he argues are creating demand for something like Chrome OS.  Consumers are flocking to netbooks because they&#039;re a cheap way to get online. More people are &#034;living on the cloud,&#034; or running most of their programs through the Internet, not their local machines. Phones are getting smarter, laptops are becoming more like phones with all-day battery life and thin, lightweight designs.</p>
<p>Google is asking whether there&#039;s a better model of personal computing. Google is focused on three things:</p>
<p>Speed, simplicity and security.</p>
<p>Google wants Chrome OS-based machines to be instant-on, like a TV. Google&#039;s Chrome browser will be especially fast. &#034;Chrome on Chrome OS is blazing fast,&#034; he says, immediately raising questions about whether they need to change the name of either the browser or the OS.</p>
<p>Every app in Chrome OS will be a web app, he says. The data will live in the cloud, so if you lose your machine you can get a new one and just pull down all of your data and preferences.</p>
<p>(A nit here: Google says every app will be a web app, but they also say they&#039;re working to make web apps act just like desktop apps – so it&#039;s a little unclear exactly what this means.)</p>
<p>Now he&#039;s showing it. The OS looks just like a browser. He says the final version won&#039;t look exactly like it does today, but some features will carry through:</p>
<p>APPLICATION TABS: Just like the Chrome browser, this OS has tabs for navigation. You can put favorites up there, and they always stay in place. (I hope there&#039;s a full-screen mode to make these go away, or games won&#039;t work well.) There&#039;s also a menu showing all of the apps.</p>
<p>PANELS: There are little windows that pop up, like Gmail chat or Facebook chat, that persist across applications. All data will live in the cloud, so everything you put on the screen will be instantly available anywhere.</p>
<p>Now he&#039;s pulling up a chess game that&#039;s written in Flash. Now he&#039;s pulling up a book, Alice in Wonderland. (There is a full-screen mode, which answers my question about those persistent tabs.)</p>
<p>He&#039;s pulling up a Youtube video to show that flash works, and he&#039;s showing how you can navigate between different windows. Looks pretty intuitive, but he&#039;s plowing through it so fast it&#039;s tough to tell.</p>
<p>Now he&#039;s showing that Chrome OS works on the web, and that if you have an Excel file but don&#039;t have Excel, it opens just fine with Microsoft&#039;s Live Office web-based software. &#034;Microsoft just launched a killer app for Chrome OS,&#034; he jokes, and quickly clarifies that he&#039;s a Google Spreadsheets user.</p>
<p>He shows that PDFs open very quickly from the web, right there in the browser.</p>
<p>Now Matt Papakipos, who heads the Chrome OS engineering team, comes up. (The Google folks in the corner clap wildly, which is a little weird. All of the journalists are typing.)</p>
<p>Speed is a big focus, he says. He repeats that they want it to feel more like a TV than a computer. All of the hardware for Chrome OS will be based on flash, not hard drives. &#034;That makes a huge difference&#034; for speed, he says. He&#039;s contrasting today&#039;s operating systems with Chrome OS. When they boos, today&#039;s OSes start with firmware, then a standard kernel, services, start-up apps, then a browser. Chrome will only have three steps.</p>
<p>He&#039;s talking about security, and Security-Verified boot. They want to make sure every time you boot that you&#039;re running what you should be. (This sounds like an automatic virus scan, only different.) It checks the cryptographic signature keys to make sure they&#039;re legit. If something goes wrong – if something&#039;s corrupted – it pulls the right stuff off the web and repairs itself, then reboots. &#034;We repair the system automatically. Basically what this is doing is re-imaging your computer. &#8230; You don&#039;t lose anything in the process.&#034;</p>
<p>How do they make sure apps don&#039;t harm your machine? Current OSes use a model where apps have the same privileges you do. Installing an app is a great risk because of that. In Chrome, all apps are web apps and the security model is different – the OS doesn&#039;t trust any app.</p>
<p>(There&#039;s an interesting philosophical approach showing itself here. These Chrome OS PCs will implicitly trust Google to do absolutely anything to your machine, even re-image it, almost without telling you. But it doesn&#039;t trust the apps – or trust the user – to do much of anything. I imagine some security pros will raise red flags about this.)</p>
<p>Now he&#039;s talking more specifically about security, how everything is encrypted. If someone snatches your flash drive, it will be tough for them to crack it and steal your data. (But since everything on the laptop is synced back to the cloud, that&#039;s the weakest link here; all a thief has to do is steal your online login and he&#039;ll probably have access to not only your Google accounts, but also everything on every Chrome OS PC you own.)</p>
<p>Sundar is back talking about how they will go to market with this. There aren&#039;t a lot of details yet, but there are a few. They&#039;re going to be very specific about what kinds of hardware Chrome OS will run on. &#034;As a consumer, you can&#039;t download Chrome OS and install it on any machine. You have to buy a Chrome OS machine.&#034; Interesting. Makes one wonder whether hobbyists will be able to build their own.</p>
<p>It strikes me that what Google is talking about here isn&#039;t really a PC. It&#039;s a Google-controlled appliance that runs on a web browser. It&#039;s more like a Kindle than anything else.</p>
<p>Google&#039;s now showing a 3-minute video that the marketing team came up with to explain what Chrome OS is. It&#039;s classic Google video. Cartoony, very easy to follow. It argues that the web browser is the center of the computing experience, where we spend 90% of our time. So Google made Chrome, and Chrome is fast. Since we all just want to get online, and today&#039;s computers take too long to get online, Google made Chrome OS that boots straight into the browser.</p>
<p>At the end of the video, all the Google people in the corner clap again. Which, again, is weird.</p>
<p>Now, Q&amp;A:</p>
<p>What will a Chrome OS netbook cost?<br />
Google won&#039;t say. &#034;We expect to have devices in the price ranges people are used to today. &#8230; You will see larger netbooks than you are seeing today.&#034;</p>
<p>Someone asks what Chrome OS was running on today: it was an off-the-shelf EeePC.</p>
<p>How will manufacturers sign up to build a Chrome OS machine? Google has info online. Developers? There&#039;s info online. Standards? Google is working with the W3C. No clear answer on APIs. In general we want to see all of this get standardized.</p>
<p>Will there be an app store? What about drivers? What about photo editing or video editing apps?<br />
No answer on the app store. There are hundreds of millions of applications on the web already. Google is working on drivers. On the third question, Google is focused on making the Chrome machine a second machine. It might be the primary device in terms of the amount of time you spend, but there will be things that this won&#039;t do. If you&#039;re a lawyer editing contracts all day, this won&#039;t be the machine for you.</p>
<p>Will Google support Silverlight? Google doesn&#039;t answer, but seem to leave the door open to it.</p>
<p>How will other browsers run on the machine? They won&#039;t. By open-sourcing it, Google is making it possible for someone else to make an OS version based on another browser. Interesting. So, no – no other browsers will run on Chrome OS. The browser is the operating system. (Neither Microsoft nor Apple would get away with this.)</p>
<p>Will this run on more robust machines than netbooks? It could. But for the next year or so, Google is focused on things that look like netbooks.</p>
<p>Will it work when you&#039;re not online? You&#039;ll be able to cache stuff locally. With HTML5 offline capabilities, that will work too. Google is focused on WiFi as the primary connectivity option. They don&#039;t answer whether they&#039;re working on cellular too.</p>
<p>Will there be native apps? Our current plan is to only support web apps.</p>
<p>Will Chrome run on ARM? It will work on both x86 and ARM.</p>
<p>How long before this works on more powerful machines? And is there a business model besides sending more traffic to Google? No business model that he&#039;s speaking of. He didn&#039;t answer the question about when it will work on full-fledged PCs.</p>
<p>Is there anything you can do with a Chrome OS machine that you can&#039;t do with a laptop? (Good question.) The answer isn&#039;t too coherent. Aside from instant-on and security stuff, there&#039;s not much difference between running the Chrome browser on another PC, and running a Chrome OS PC.</p>
<p>Will the data cacheing be open? (I didn&#039;t catch the answer to this question. But I suspect the answer is no; these machines will be locked into Google.)</p>
<p>No drivers. Keyboards and mice will work. Chrome OS will print. (An easy way to do this would be to keep the drivers in the cloud and create a USB receiver that hooks into a printer or other devices.)</p>
<p>The Q&amp;A is over.</p>
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		<thr:total>7</thr:total>
	<category term="GOOG" scheme="http://rss.financialcontent.com/stocksymbol" /></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Adam Lashinsky, Editor at Large</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Sweet! Is Sugar the future of publishing?]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/19/sweet-is-sugar-the-future-of-publishing/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15411</id>
		<updated>2009-11-20T23:46:55Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-19T15:34:28Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Cool Companies" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Daily Brainstorm" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Google" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="People.com" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Sequoia Capital" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Sugar Inc." /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Time Warner" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[The women-centric collection of sites is shaking up the web &#8212; and traditional media.
The state of affairs in publishing is beyond depressing. Unless, of course, by publishing you mean the shiny new online-only startups who are behaving as if it were boom times for journalism. An example is Sugar Publishing, the 3 1/2-year old blogging [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15411&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/19/sweet-is-sugar-the-future-of-publishing/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><strong>The women-centric collection of sites is shaking up the web &#8212; and traditional media.</strong></p>
<div id="attachment_15430" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 135px"><a href="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/659f0c0cd8173109_lisasugar.jpg"><img class="size-thumbnail wp-image-15430" title="659f0c0cd8173109_lisasugar" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/659f0c0cd8173109_lisasugar.jpg?w=125&#038;h=150" alt="" width="125" height="150" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text"> Lisa Sugar&#39;s celebrity blog morphed into an online empire. Photo: Sugar Inc.</p></div>
<p>The state of affairs in publishing is beyond depressing. Unless, of course, by publishing you mean the shiny new online-only startups who are behaving as if it were boom times for journalism. An example is <a href="http://www.sugarinc.com/">Sugar Publishing</a>, the 3 1/2-year old blogging company that focuses on young women. Run by the husband-and-wife team Brian and Lisa Sugar, the San Francisco company has 12 sites, 114 people, and boasts an online audience that&#039;s approaching that of Time Warner&#039;s (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=TWX">TWX</a>) <a href="http://www.people.com">People.com</a> (almost 8 million monthly visitors in October for Sugar versus 12 million for People, says comScore).</p>
<p>It gets better. According to Brian Sugar, his little company will be profitable this quarter as well as all of next year. What&#039;s more, only half the company&#039;s revenues come from advertising against the work of its journalists &#8212; a shocking figure given that traditional media companies get, well, all of their revenues from their scribbling. &#034;Editorial is a marketing expense to drive people to something bigger,&#034; he says.<span id="more-15411"></span></p>
<p>Sugar started as former ad-agency media-buyer Lisa Sugar&#039;s dream to be a writer. In 2005 she created a celebrity-oriented blog, <a href="http://www.popsugar.com/">PopSugar</a>, which, once it started picking up steam, told her marketing-veteran husband that she was on to something. By this point the online world already was littered with sites that mimicked what trade publications have done forever. Sports sites also were plentiful. The &#034;women&#039;s&#034; category was wide open. Sugar added additional sites, focusing on fashion, beauty, food, mommying, and the like. Along the way the company attracted a venture investment from Sequoia Capital &#8212; which is <a href="http://gigaom.com/2009/11/09/breaking-google-buys-admob/">doing pretty well these days</a>, despite what you might have read in <a href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/10/23/sequoia-branches-too/">a certain traditional business magazine</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Generalists, not specialists</strong></p>
<p>Two broad themes define what&#039;s cool and exciting about Sugar: the way it does journalism and how it makes its money. According to Brian Sugar, every staff writer is trained on how to do everything it takes to produce a  blog post, from writing and Photoshop to editing videos. That is so antithetical to how it works at big-time magazines, where specialization rules. Sugar&#039;s money-making tactics also signal a break from the past. It recently bought a company called ShopStyle, whose site allows users to shop for products they like and takes referral commissions from retailers. ShopStyle is so popular that Sugar licenses it to other sites, creating a lucrative revenue stream for Sugar off the audience of other online publishers. Sounds like Google&#039;s (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=GOOG">GOOG</a>) AdSense, right? Sugar calls the licensing product ShopSense.</p>
<p>More is in store. The company is rapidly building out its video capabilities. It plans to launch a video game on Facebook next year. (Shopping and gaming have similarly addictive qualities to them.) It has sites in the U.K., France, and Germany and plans to open in fashion-conscious Japan next  year. The company also provides a platform for its users to create their own blogs on Sugar&#039;s sites. Brian Sugar says a quarter of the posts on Sugar&#039;s sites are &#034;curated&#034; from blogs on its platform.</p>
<p>Not everything works for Sugar, but online it&#039;s easy to thin the herd. Sites devoted to politics (CitizenSugar) and recommendations (SugarLovin&#039;) flopped, so Sugar killed them.</p>
<p>Sugar is a nascent success and an example of what magazines may become. It doesn&#039;t provide an answer to the question of what will become of long-form journalism, because it chose a segment that wasn&#039;t exactly bubbling over with ponderous feature stories to begin with. All the same, that something is working in publishing these days, and that&#039;s at least some hopeful news.</p>
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		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Philip Elmer-DeWitt</name>
						<uri>http://fortuneapple20.wordpress.com</uri>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Rumor: Apple tablet delayed]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/19/rumor-apple-tablet-delayed/" />
		<id>http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/?p=15413</id>
		<updated>2009-11-19T22:06:14Z</updated>
		<published>2009-11-19T11:18:47Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple 2.0" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Apple" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="DigiTimes" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Steve Jobs" /><category scheme="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com" term="Tablet" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Steve Jobs&#039; next big thing is being retooled, Asian supply-chain sources report
Live by the rumor, die by the rumor. Or at least go on life support.
The Apple (AAPL) tablet computer that all Silicon Valley has taken as a given &#8212; but no one outside of Cupertino seems to have seen &#8212; won&#039;t be arriving early [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com&blog=8466345&post=15413&subd=fortunebrainstormtech&ref=&feed=1" />]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/11/19/rumor-apple-tablet-delayed/"><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><strong>Steve Jobs&#039; next big thing is being retooled, Asian supply-chain sources report</strong></p>
<div id="attachment_15421" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 230px"><a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/henry-blodget-apple-tablet-delayed-until-late-2010-says-taiwan-news-source-2009-11"><img class="size-full wp-image-15421  " title="f" src="http://fortunebrainstormtech.files.wordpress.com/2009/11/f.jpg?w=220&#038;h=157" alt="" width="220" height="157" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Artist&#39;s rendition. Image: Silicon Alley Insider.</p></div>
<p>Live by the rumor, die by the rumor. Or at least go on life support.</p>
<p>The Apple (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=AAPL">AAPL</a>) tablet computer that all Silicon Valley has taken as a given &#8212; but no one outside of Cupertino seems to have seen &#8212; won&#039;t be arriving early next year, as widely rumored, and may not appear until the second half of 2010.</p>
<p>This according to a report Thursday in <a href="http://www.digitimes.com/news/a20091118PB201.html"><em>DigiTimes</em></a>, a Taipei-based daily newspaper that covers &#8212; with uneven results &#8212; every hiccup in the Taiwanese and greater Chinese electronics industry. At one point, <a href="http://macrumors.com">MacRumors</a>, which trades in Apple gossip itself, stopped citing the paper without heavy disclaimers about its track record (see <a href="http://normalkid.com/2007/03/23/digitimescoms-poor-apple-rumor-accuracy/">here</a>.)</p>
<p><span id="more-15413"></span></p>
<p>Still, the report includes pricing and component details that, if true, could cause Apple&#039;s competitors to rethink their own product plans. Among other things, <em>DigiTimes</em> reports that Apple is gearing up to make two models, one with a 10.6 inch LCD screen, another with a far more expensive 9.7-inch organic LED (OLED) panel.</p>
<p>Based on the cost of components, an OLED tablet might sell for as much as $1,200-1,500, according to <em>DigiTimes</em>, although the price point could be reduced if subsidized by, say, AT&amp;T (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=T">T</a>) or Verizon (<a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=VZ">VZ</a>). <em>DigiTimes</em>&#039; sources expect the 10.6-inch model to priced in the $800-1,000 range.</p>
<p>You can read the full report <a href="http://www.digitimes.com/news/a20091118PB201.html">here</a>. Take it all with a grain of salt.</p>
<p>UPDATE: Piper Jaffray&#039;s Gene Munster, one of several analysts who had predicted an early 2010 launch, issued his take on the DigiTimes report in a quick note to clients Thursday morning:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#034;Bottom line. At this point we cannot confirm or deny the validity<br />
of this report, but believe the exact timing is irrelevant given<br />
Street models do not currently reflect the tablet, expectations<br />
for actual units in 2010 are low, and investors focus is more on<br />
whether the tablet is real and less on timing.</p>
<p>&#034;For purposes of sensitivity, assuming the tablet comes out on<br />
September 1, we believe Apple would sell around 650,000 units at a<br />
$600 ASP in CY10 and would equate to an increase of about 1% to<br />
revenue.&#034;</p></blockquote>
<p>Apple shares closed at $200.51, down 5.45 points (2.65%) for the day.</p>
<p>[Follow Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Twitter @<a rel="external nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/philiped" target="new">philiped</a>]</p>
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